{ "stats": { "1M Return": "-1.33%", "52W High": 155.08368766912653, "52W Low": 77.39788137993614, "Annualized Return": "5.45%", "Avg Loss": "0%", "Avg Profit": "5.48%", "Avg Profit - All": "5.48%", "Avg Volume 20d": 10198362.35, "Cumulative Return": "70.05%", "Median Profit": "5.48%", "Num Losers": "0", "Num Winners": "10", "Percent Profitable": "100.0%", "Risk Free Rate": 4.0, "SMA 200": 122.06625672522921, "SMA 50": 143.86210097487677, "Sharpe Ratio": "2.08", "Sharpe Ratio2": "2.36", "Std Dev": "2.51%", "Trade Dir": "long", "Trend Long": 34, "Trend Long1": 46, "Trend Score Available": true, "Trend Short": 2, "Trend Short1": 2, "days_to_earnings": 18, "earnings_filings": [ { "date": "2026-08-07", "form": "10-Q" }, { "date": "2026-08-04", "form": "8-K/E" }, { "date": "2026-05-04", "form": "10-Q" }, { "date": "2026-04-30", "form": "8-K/E" }, { "date": "2026-02-24", "form": "10-K" }, { "date": "2026-02-03", "form": "8-K/E" }, { "date": "2025-11-05", "form": "10-Q" }, { "date": "2025-10-30", "form": "8-K/E" }, { "date": "2025-08-05", "form": "10-Q" }, { "date": "2025-07-29", "form": "8-K/E" }, { "date": "2025-05-02", "form": "10-Q" }, { "date": "2025-04-24", "form": "8-K/E" }, { "date": "2025-02-25", "form": "10-K" }, { "date": "2025-02-04", "form": "8-K/E" }, { "date": "2024-11-06", "form": "10-Q" }, { "date": "2024-10-31", "form": "8-K/E" }, { "date": "2024-08-05", "form": "10-Q" }, { "date": "2024-07-30", "form": "8-K/E" }, { "date": "2024-05-03", "form": "10-Q" }, { "date": "2024-04-25", "form": "8-K/E" }, { "date": "2024-02-26", "form": "10-K" }, { "date": "2024-02-01", "form": "8-K/E" }, { "date": "2023-11-03", "form": "10-Q" }, { "date": "2023-10-26", "form": "8-K/E" }, { "date": "2023-08-07", "form": "10-Q" }, { "date": "2023-08-01", "form": "8-K/E" }, { "date": "2023-05-05", "form": "10-Q" }, { "date": "2023-04-27", "form": "8-K/E" }, { "date": "2023-02-24", "form": "10-K" }, { "date": "2023-02-02", "form": "8-K/E" }, { "date": "2022-11-03", "form": "10-Q" }, { "date": "2022-10-27", "form": "8-K/E" }, { "date": "2022-08-05", "form": "10-Q" }, { "date": "2022-07-28", "form": "8-K/E" }, { "date": "2022-05-05", "form": "10-Q" }, { "date": "2022-04-28", "form": "8-K/E" }, { "date": "2022-04-21", "form": "8-K/E" }, { "date": "2022-02-25", "form": "10-K" }, { "date": "2022-02-03", "form": "8-K/E" }, { "date": "2021-11-05", "form": "10-Q" }, { "date": "2021-10-28", "form": "8-K/E" }, { "date": "2021-08-09", "form": "10-Q" }, { "date": "2021-07-29", "form": "8-K/E" }, { "date": "2021-05-05", "form": "10-Q" }, { "date": "2021-04-29", "form": "8-K/E" }, { "date": "2021-02-25", "form": "10-K" }, { "date": "2021-02-04", "form": "8-K/E" }, { "date": "2020-11-05", "form": "10-Q" }, { "date": "2020-10-27", "form": "8-K/E" }, { "date": "2020-08-05", "form": "10-Q" }, { "date": "2020-07-31", "form": "8-K/E" }, { "date": "2020-05-06", "form": "10-Q" }, { "date": "2020-04-28", "form": "8-K/E" }, { "date": "2020-02-26", "form": "10-K" }, { "date": "2020-02-05", "form": "8-K/E" }, { "date": "2019-11-05", "form": "10-Q" }, { "date": "2019-10-29", "form": "8-K/E" }, { "date": "2019-08-06", "form": "10-Q" }, { "date": "2019-07-30", "form": "8-K/E" }, { "date": "2019-05-08", "form": "10-Q" }, { "date": "2019-04-30", "form": "8-K/E" }, { "date": "2019-02-27", "form": "10-K" }, { "date": "2019-02-01", "form": "8-K/E" }, { "date": "2018-11-06", "form": "10-Q" }, { "date": "2018-10-25", "form": "8-K/E" }, { "date": "2018-08-07", "form": "10-Q" }, { "date": "2018-07-27", "form": "8-K/E" } ], "last_trade_date": "2026-10-15", "next_earnings_est": "2026-11-03" }, "window": { "start_date": "2026-11-10", "end_date": "2026-12-05", "calendar_days": 26 }, "cohort": { "label": "10 selected midterm-election years (1986–2022)", "n": 10, "years": [ 1986, 1990, 1994, 1998, 2002, 2006, 2010, 2014, 2018, 2022 ] }, "comparisons": [ { "request": { "resource_id": "2", "symbol": "MRK", "anchor_date": "2026-11-10", "days_out": "25", "years": "10" }, "stats": { "1M Return": "-1.33%", "52W High": 155.08368766912653, "52W Low": 77.39788137993614, "Annualized Return": "2.17%", "Avg Loss": "-9.93%", "Avg Profit": "5.53%", "Avg Profit - All": "2.44%", "Avg Volume 20d": 10198362.35, "Cumulative Return": "23.9%", "Median Profit": "3.78%", "Num Losers": "2", "Num Winners": "8", "Percent Profitable": "80.0%", "Risk Free Rate": 4.0, "SMA 200": 122.06625672522921, "SMA 50": 143.86210097487677, "Sharpe Ratio": "0.28", "Sharpe Ratio2": "0.89", "Std Dev": "7.75%", "Trade Dir": "long", "Trend Long": 34, "Trend Long1": 46, "Trend Score Available": true, "Trend Short": 2, "Trend Short1": 2, "days_to_earnings": 18, "earnings_filings": [ { "date": "2026-08-07", "form": "10-Q" }, { "date": "2026-08-04", "form": "8-K/E" }, { "date": "2026-05-04", "form": "10-Q" }, { "date": "2026-04-30", "form": "8-K/E" }, { "date": "2026-02-24", "form": "10-K" }, { "date": "2026-02-03", "form": "8-K/E" }, { "date": "2025-11-05", "form": "10-Q" }, { "date": "2025-10-30", "form": "8-K/E" }, { "date": "2025-08-05", "form": "10-Q" }, { "date": "2025-07-29", "form": "8-K/E" }, { "date": "2025-05-02", "form": "10-Q" }, { "date": "2025-04-24", "form": "8-K/E" }, { "date": "2025-02-25", "form": "10-K" }, { "date": "2025-02-04", "form": "8-K/E" }, { "date": "2024-11-06", "form": "10-Q" }, { "date": "2024-10-31", "form": "8-K/E" }, { "date": "2024-08-05", "form": "10-Q" }, { "date": "2024-07-30", "form": "8-K/E" }, { "date": "2024-05-03", "form": "10-Q" }, { "date": "2024-04-25", "form": "8-K/E" }, { "date": "2024-02-26", "form": "10-K" }, { "date": "2024-02-01", "form": "8-K/E" }, { "date": "2023-11-03", "form": "10-Q" }, { "date": "2023-10-26", "form": "8-K/E" }, { "date": "2023-08-07", "form": "10-Q" }, { "date": "2023-08-01", "form": "8-K/E" }, { "date": "2023-05-05", "form": "10-Q" }, { "date": "2023-04-27", "form": "8-K/E" }, { "date": "2023-02-24", "form": "10-K" }, { "date": "2023-02-02", "form": "8-K/E" }, { "date": "2022-11-03", "form": "10-Q" }, { "date": "2022-10-27", "form": "8-K/E" }, { "date": "2022-08-05", "form": "10-Q" }, { "date": "2022-07-28", "form": "8-K/E" }, { "date": "2022-05-05", "form": "10-Q" }, { "date": "2022-04-28", "form": "8-K/E" }, { "date": "2022-04-21", "form": "8-K/E" }, { "date": "2022-02-25", "form": "10-K" }, { "date": "2022-02-03", "form": "8-K/E" }, { "date": "2021-11-05", "form": "10-Q" }, { "date": "2021-10-28", "form": "8-K/E" }, { "date": "2021-08-09", "form": "10-Q" }, { "date": "2021-07-29", "form": "8-K/E" }, { "date": "2021-05-05", "form": "10-Q" }, { "date": "2021-04-29", "form": "8-K/E" }, { "date": "2021-02-25", "form": "10-K" }, { "date": "2021-02-04", "form": "8-K/E" }, { "date": "2020-11-05", "form": "10-Q" }, { "date": "2020-10-27", "form": "8-K/E" }, { "date": "2020-08-05", "form": "10-Q" }, { "date": "2020-07-31", "form": "8-K/E" }, { "date": "2020-05-06", "form": "10-Q" }, { "date": "2020-04-28", "form": "8-K/E" }, { "date": "2020-02-26", "form": "10-K" }, { "date": "2020-02-05", "form": "8-K/E" }, { "date": "2019-11-05", "form": "10-Q" }, { "date": "2019-10-29", "form": "8-K/E" }, { "date": "2019-08-06", "form": "10-Q" }, { "date": "2019-07-30", "form": "8-K/E" }, { "date": "2019-05-08", "form": "10-Q" }, { "date": "2019-04-30", "form": "8-K/E" }, { "date": "2019-02-27", "form": "10-K" }, { "date": "2019-02-01", "form": "8-K/E" }, { "date": "2018-11-06", "form": "10-Q" }, { "date": "2018-10-25", "form": "8-K/E" }, { "date": "2018-08-07", "form": "10-Q" }, { "date": "2018-07-27", "form": "8-K/E" } ], "last_trade_date": "2026-10-15", "next_earnings_est": "2026-11-03" }, "per_year": [ { "year": 2016, "net": -7.25, "mfe": 0.0, "mae": -7.91, "entry_price": 45.6751, "exit_price": 42.3634 }, { "year": 2017, "net": 0.52, "mfe": 2.22, "mae": -3.33, "entry_price": 40.1721, "exit_price": 40.382 }, { "year": 2018, "net": 4.93, "mfe": 7.36, "mae": -2.09, "entry_price": 55.8222, "exit_price": 58.5726 }, { "year": 2019, "net": 6.57, "mfe": 6.62, "mae": 0.0, "entry_price": 63.9476, "exit_price": 68.1477 }, { "year": 2020, "net": 1.73, "mfe": 2.91, "mae": -2.56, "entry_price": 64.1924, "exit_price": 65.3004 }, { "year": 2021, "net": -12.61, "mfe": 0.81, "mae": -13.51, "entry_price": 72.0956, "exit_price": 63.0075 }, { "year": 2022, "net": 7.97, "mfe": 8.92, "mae": -4.48, "entry_price": 90.5072, "exit_price": 97.7201 }, { "year": 2023, "net": 4.77, "mfe": 4.94, "mae": -1.57, "entry_price": 92.5266, "exit_price": 96.9434 }, { "year": 2024, "net": 2.8, "mfe": 3.39, "mae": -6.2, "entry_price": 94.3617, "exit_price": 97.0034 }, { "year": 2025, "net": 14.95, "mfe": 22.01, "mae": 0.0, "entry_price": 84.2753, "exit_price": 96.8754 } ], "label": "10 consecutive historical windows (2016–2025)", "raw_response_sha256": "8dcae349496142e94a861090b0b971869ba4b6aa79e136a00564aeb163db3b50" }, { "request": { "resource_id": "2", "symbol": "MRK", "anchor_date": "2026-11-10", "days_out": "25", "years": "20" }, "stats": { "1M Return": "-1.33%", "52W High": 155.08368766912653, "52W Low": 77.39788137993614, "Annualized Return": "2.4%", "Avg Loss": "-6.24%", "Avg Profit": "4.77%", "Avg Profit - All": "2.57%", "Avg Volume 20d": 10198362.35, "Cumulative Return": "60.74%", "Median Profit": "3.32%", "Num Losers": "4", "Num Winners": "16", "Percent Profitable": "80.0%", "Risk Free Rate": 4.0, "SMA 200": 122.06625672522921, "SMA 50": 143.86210097487677, "Sharpe Ratio": "0.38", "Sharpe Ratio2": "1.05", "Std Dev": "5.98%", "Trade Dir": "long", "Trend Long": 34, "Trend Long1": 46, "Trend Score Available": true, "Trend Short": 2, "Trend Short1": 2, "days_to_earnings": 18, "earnings_filings": [ { "date": "2026-08-07", "form": "10-Q" }, { "date": "2026-08-04", "form": "8-K/E" }, { "date": "2026-05-04", "form": "10-Q" }, { "date": "2026-04-30", "form": "8-K/E" }, { "date": "2026-02-24", "form": "10-K" }, { "date": "2026-02-03", "form": "8-K/E" }, { "date": "2025-11-05", "form": "10-Q" }, { "date": "2025-10-30", "form": "8-K/E" }, { "date": "2025-08-05", "form": "10-Q" }, { "date": "2025-07-29", "form": "8-K/E" }, { "date": "2025-05-02", "form": "10-Q" }, { "date": "2025-04-24", "form": "8-K/E" }, { "date": "2025-02-25", "form": "10-K" }, { "date": "2025-02-04", "form": "8-K/E" }, { "date": "2024-11-06", "form": "10-Q" }, { "date": "2024-10-31", "form": "8-K/E" }, { "date": "2024-08-05", "form": "10-Q" }, { "date": "2024-07-30", "form": "8-K/E" }, { "date": "2024-05-03", "form": "10-Q" }, { "date": "2024-04-25", "form": "8-K/E" }, { "date": "2024-02-26", "form": "10-K" }, { "date": "2024-02-01", "form": "8-K/E" }, { "date": "2023-11-03", "form": "10-Q" }, { "date": "2023-10-26", "form": "8-K/E" }, { "date": "2023-08-07", "form": "10-Q" }, { "date": "2023-08-01", "form": "8-K/E" }, { "date": "2023-05-05", "form": "10-Q" }, { "date": "2023-04-27", "form": "8-K/E" }, { "date": "2023-02-24", "form": "10-K" }, { "date": "2023-02-02", "form": "8-K/E" }, { "date": "2022-11-03", "form": "10-Q" }, { "date": "2022-10-27", "form": "8-K/E" }, { "date": "2022-08-05", "form": "10-Q" }, { "date": "2022-07-28", "form": "8-K/E" }, { "date": "2022-05-05", "form": "10-Q" }, { "date": "2022-04-28", "form": "8-K/E" }, { "date": "2022-04-21", "form": "8-K/E" }, { "date": "2022-02-25", "form": "10-K" }, { "date": "2022-02-03", "form": "8-K/E" }, { "date": "2021-11-05", "form": "10-Q" }, { "date": "2021-10-28", "form": "8-K/E" }, { "date": "2021-08-09", "form": "10-Q" }, { "date": "2021-07-29", "form": "8-K/E" }, { "date": "2021-05-05", "form": "10-Q" }, { "date": "2021-04-29", "form": "8-K/E" }, { "date": "2021-02-25", "form": "10-K" }, { "date": "2021-02-04", "form": "8-K/E" }, { "date": "2020-11-05", "form": "10-Q" }, { "date": "2020-10-27", "form": "8-K/E" }, { "date": "2020-08-05", "form": "10-Q" }, { "date": "2020-07-31", "form": "8-K/E" }, { "date": "2020-05-06", "form": "10-Q" }, { "date": "2020-04-28", "form": "8-K/E" }, { "date": "2020-02-26", "form": "10-K" }, { "date": "2020-02-05", "form": "8-K/E" }, { "date": "2019-11-05", "form": "10-Q" }, { "date": "2019-10-29", "form": "8-K/E" }, { "date": "2019-08-06", "form": "10-Q" }, { "date": "2019-07-30", "form": "8-K/E" }, { "date": "2019-05-08", "form": "10-Q" }, { "date": "2019-04-30", "form": "8-K/E" }, { "date": "2019-02-27", "form": "10-K" }, { "date": "2019-02-01", "form": "8-K/E" }, { "date": "2018-11-06", "form": "10-Q" }, { "date": "2018-10-25", "form": "8-K/E" }, { "date": "2018-08-07", "form": "10-Q" }, { "date": "2018-07-27", "form": "8-K/E" } ], "last_trade_date": "2026-10-15", "next_earnings_est": "2026-11-03" }, "per_year": [ { "year": 2006, "net": 5.26, "mfe": 6.45, "mae": 0.0, "entry_price": 20.5539, "exit_price": 21.6359 }, { "year": 2007, "net": 6.79, "mfe": 8.04, "mae": -0.82, "entry_price": 27.5561, "exit_price": 29.4259 }, { "year": 2008, "net": -3.72, "mfe": 3.08, "mae": -18.24, "entry_price": 14.242299999999998, "exit_price": 13.713 }, { "year": 2009, "net": 9.19, "mfe": 11.57, "mae": -2.23, "entry_price": 18.1545, "exit_price": 19.8236 }, { "year": 2010, "net": 0.83, "mfe": 1.97, "mae": -2.92, "entry_price": 19.6945, "exit_price": 19.8579 }, { "year": 2011, "net": 0.83, "mfe": 3.66, "mae": -5.26, "entry_price": 20.606, "exit_price": 20.7768 }, { "year": 2012, "net": 0.84, "mfe": 2.11, "mae": -3.77, "entry_price": 27.088200000000004, "exit_price": 27.3159 }, { "year": 2013, "net": 3.85, "mfe": 7.28, "mae": -0.74, "entry_price": 30.019700000000004, "exit_price": 31.1758 }, { "year": 2014, "net": 4.56, "mfe": 5.03, "mae": -0.07, "entry_price": 38.7683, "exit_price": 40.535 }, { "year": 2015, "net": -1.38, "mfe": 1.05, "mae": -4.23, "entry_price": 37.0381, "exit_price": 36.5277 }, { "year": 2016, "net": -7.25, "mfe": 0.0, "mae": -7.91, "entry_price": 45.6751, "exit_price": 42.3634 }, { "year": 2017, "net": 0.52, "mfe": 2.22, "mae": -3.33, "entry_price": 40.1721, "exit_price": 40.382 }, { "year": 2018, "net": 4.93, "mfe": 7.36, "mae": -2.09, "entry_price": 55.8222, "exit_price": 58.5726 }, { "year": 2019, "net": 6.57, "mfe": 6.62, "mae": 0.0, "entry_price": 63.9476, "exit_price": 68.1477 }, { "year": 2020, "net": 1.73, "mfe": 2.91, "mae": -2.56, "entry_price": 64.1924, "exit_price": 65.3004 }, { "year": 2021, "net": -12.61, "mfe": 0.81, "mae": -13.51, "entry_price": 72.0956, "exit_price": 63.0075 }, { "year": 2022, "net": 7.97, "mfe": 8.92, "mae": -4.48, "entry_price": 90.5072, "exit_price": 97.7201 }, { "year": 2023, "net": 4.77, "mfe": 4.94, "mae": -1.57, "entry_price": 92.5266, "exit_price": 96.9434 }, { "year": 2024, "net": 2.8, "mfe": 3.39, "mae": -6.2, "entry_price": 94.3617, "exit_price": 97.0034 }, { "year": 2025, "net": 14.95, "mfe": 22.01, "mae": 0.0, "entry_price": 84.2753, "exit_price": 96.8754 } ], "label": "20 consecutive historical windows (2006–2025)", "raw_response_sha256": "7ec1cafe30477201489667530a63449dff06020358b7cf25546a2b6360cafccb" } ] }